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    NBA 1.games in 1.round 16-18.04.2011

    Orlando - Atlanta / Orlando -2,0 @1,30
    Boston - NYK / Boston -1,5 @ 1,43
    @@ 1,85 , bet365
    5/10


    Boston - NYK / Boston -5,5 @ 1,86
    3/10, pinnacle


    I would raise my stake for this double, but the first game in playoff can be tricky so lets leave it at that.

    Orlando - Atlanta
    I see this series going clearly on side of Orlando , now even Reddick recovered and should play what is very important cause the Orlando bench suffered strong setbacks after the trade cause in Arenas their is no big use and they lost Gortat and Pietrus as extremly strong rotation players. I think some stuff is very wierd around by the Hawks. There are some rumours that they have problems in the locker room , but i dont rely much on that. Last year Atlanta had no chance in playoff against Orlando , mainly cause they absolutly no player that can even remotly defend Howard . Collison has some ankle problems but will be there but is no threat to him , as Horford plying on center , we saw last year what happende then, he was totally dominated by superman , Horford is a PF who is sometimes used at C, against Howard he has no chance. But unfortunately Orlando is also worse than last year. Arenas Richardson Turkoglu alright but also not the right move. Atlanta is very bad in offense lately , and the lack of offensive power they are trying to compensate in strong defense , but Orlandos defense is stronger so thats about it for the Hawks i would say. J.Johnson proed so many times that he is no player for big games , in Hinrich they got a good defensive PG and thats also it , they lost a lot by trading Bibby who i think never would go from a team which has potential , and this shows me that Atlanta does not fit in that category. Even the fact that Orlando is not strong on 3 point line as they were last year this should be a Orlando win no doubt.

    Boston - NYK
    Maybe a clash between the most organised team in nba when they want to play and the most unorganised. NYK can win here only if Boston allows them to. What does this mean ? Boston ended the season bad , but that classic Boston . Losing against Miami was nothing special cause simply it wasnt important to them as it was to heath. They always leave a bad feeling in our stomachs in the end of the season and kick ass in the playoffs , i hope this also the case here . If Boston ( true Boston ) get serious from game 1 this can be a easy 4-0 sweep but i doubt that we will see real Boston before 2.round. What to say about NYk ? They can surprise if not taken seriously but never can take the series. Some totally unorganised attack with bad run and gun has no place in the playoffs. But NYK is ever that they have not to prove anything ehre cause they are in the rebuilding phase and nobody expekts nothing from them , but the next 1-2 years are very important to them.

    DWIGHT HOWARD over 21,5 @1,86
    2/10 , pinnacle


    I see Howard again having +10 FT , his FT% is better than on the start of the season and he is the biggest advantage for the Magic hear. Despite Reddick returning , i suspect that superman if this will not be a very strong underish game can have his night here , he will be probably fould a lot and on the line.

    Oklahoma - Denver 1 @ 1,43
    Dallas - Portland / Portland +12,0 @ 1,28
    @@ 1,83
    4/10, bet365


    Oklahoma - Denver
    Hard clash but Oklahoma must be the favorite here. They got what they needed the most for the playoffs - Perkins ( some stronger defense ) which allows Ibaka much more freedom in the paint where he now became top 5 nba blocker cause of that. I was mistaken slightly about denver. They are a good team and respect for this plays without mello and billups. they raised their defense a lot and play very homogenc in the offense ( despite J.R.Smith ) and are deadly from 3 point line. One of the best 3 point teams in a league . Cause of their offense variety it is hard to crash them +10 , such an offense doesnt respond very much on strong defenses. But Oklahoma have just the cure for that , the most athletic teams in the league is i believe a very uncomfrtable opponent for Denver. And as we one Denver has slight injury problems . The fast breaks by Oklahoma will be a great problem for the Nuggets , and i see their biggest chance to reply from 3 point line , cause despite Nene and K.Martin they will have a lot of problems with Perkins and Ibaka in the paint . How much you can just rely on 3 points thats now a totally different story ...

    Dallas - Portland
    The closest series on East and west i would say. Two very compact and strong teams and i doubt that any team will demolish their opponent , especially in match 1. Portland has what it takes to surprise dallas. I am sceptical about Dallas, they are a good team ,very experienced , high level of team paly , but their concept isnt being changed years ago. Its not giviing serious results so even if the exceed Portland it is a very serious question if they can do any more ?? i doubt it. i like portland. Strong lineup , very talented. Camby , Aldridge , Miller , Matthews , G.Wallace ...very nice i would say. As more read the lineups so i am more at the opinion that this will be a true playoff series extremly hard. In G.Wallace Portland got a lot , great adittion in both directions especially in defense , cause the trailblazers lacked such a player in defense of his quality. About the fantastic homogenity in Portland i speaked earlyer before so i want repeat myself ....

    Miami - Philadelphia / Philadelphia +17,5 @ 1,31
    SAS - Memphis / SAS -1,5 @ 1,43
    @@ 1,88, 2/10
    bet365


    Miami - Philadelphia
    Much was said before about this game , something realistic and something But who am i to judge i will break it down to this , if L.Williams and Iguodala would be 100% healthy this would be a series from hall , almost like Dallas - Portland. They are not so the clear favorite is Miami ...
    Still Philly has the team play concept of which Miami can just dream atm. Miami has other strenghts but also was all said before ... Not to repeat myself , cause of the abillitie that both opponents are able to play strong defense and cause most probably both L.Williams and Iguodala will play but i dont know in what condition ; cause of that i think Miami can not demolish Philly

    SAS - Memphis
    Ginobili probably out , G.Hill in. What does this say us ? Ginobili is i dont know maybe even he most important factor by SAS , once Popovich said that he would rather choose Ginobili than Bryant. Why ? Cause of his hearth. You should see him play defense , leave Artest by side , and look Manu giving 150% against anyone , a fearless warrior , i like him very much . With Parker he is making a fantastic duet. Parker is maybe the best PG in fast break situations 1on1,2 or 3. Duncan is also not 100% but when he is. With the absence of Manu SAS will lose more in defense than in offense , G.Hill is a great rotation player , one of the best in the league. Dont be surprised if he score 15-20 ppg here , i think SAS has enough strong players to make the absence of Manu less painful as possible. In general i like Memphis , but in geneal they are a limited team.Aquaring T.Allen and Battier gave them depth , and this all looks very nice against teams outside of top 4 on east and west , but this is a different story. Their best player is the fat and black version of T.Duncan - Z.Randolph , i think Duncan will be able to limit him a bit , Allen knows to play great defense he hustles a lot but SAS has one of the quickest attacks and most creative ones in the whole league so this could be an irelevant factor on the end. Conley , Gasol , Young ..all can be dangerous but Popovich is a grea coach and despite Memphis making a lot of trouble to SAS i think we havent seen the best of SAS especially in defense yet.
    Zuletzt geändert von ibra; 15.04.2011, 22:59.

    #2
    Zitat von ibra Beitrag anzeigen
    DWIGHT HOWARD over 21,5 @1,86
    2/10 , pinnacle
    46 points
    win

    Kommentar


      #3
      Who will score the most points between this players :
      Nene , K.Martin and Ibaka.
      Pick : K.Martin @ 3,00
      1/10 , unibet


      A very risky bet but with value i believe. Nene will battle in the paint against one of the better league defending center K.Perkins , and Nene still has groin problems. Ibaka is good and very thletic , but also more focudes on defense than on offense. His defense blosomd with the arrival of Perkins. Now Martin showed in last 2 games against Oklahoma that he knows how to play them , he scored last 2 game against them : 14 and 14 , and in both matches Ibaka was under 10 points . It is obvious that my focuse here is on this 2 players , if i neglekted by right Nene remains to be seen. I think we have some value here.

      Kommentar


        #4
        Zitat von ibra Beitrag anzeigen
        Who will score the most points between this players :
        Nene , K.Martin and Ibaka.
        Pick : K.Martin @ 3,00
        1/10 , unibet
        Ibaka -3 , Martin - 10 , Nene -22
        Jetzt woll sehbar das das hier nicht der Perkins von letzten Jahr ist

        Zitat von ibra Beitrag anzeigen
        Orlando - Atlanta / Orlando -2,0 @1,30
        Boston - NYK / Boston -1,5 @ 1,43
        @@ 1,85 , bet365
        5/10
        Orlando 93-103
        Boston 87 - 85


        Zitat von ibra Beitrag anzeigen
        Oklahoma - Denver 1 @ 1,43
        Dallas - Portland / Portland +12,0 @ 1,28
        @@ 1,83
        4/10, bet365
        Oklahoma 107-103
        Portland 81-89


        Zitat von ibra Beitrag anzeigen
        Miami - Philadelphia / Philadelphia +17,5 @ 1,31
        SAS - Memphis / SAS -1,5 @ 1,43
        @@ 1,88, 2/10
        bet365
        Philly 89-97
        SAS 98-101


        Die playoff 1.runde nach dem easy wins im "last week of NBA" sind ziemlich schwer zum wetten , glaube das wird und muss besser aber das hier woll jetzt etwas ganz anderes. Auf alles was vorher passiert kann mann ruhig vergesse ...
        Zuletzt geändert von ibra; 18.04.2011, 10:12.

        Kommentar

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